Survey: Growing Number of New Yorkers Say They’ll Leave if Mamdani Wins Mayoral Election

A new citywide poll has revealed growing anxiety among New Yorkers as the mayoral race heads into its final stretch. Conducted by Victory Insights, the survey found that more than one in four residents — about 26.5 percent — say they would consider leaving the city if Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, a progressive candidate known for his left-wing platform, wins the upcoming election. The results reflect a deep political divide in the nation’s largest city, as voters weigh optimism for reform against fears of economic instability.

Mamdani, a 34-year-old state assemblyman from Queens, has built his campaign on affordable housing, expanded social programs, and higher taxes for wealthy residents. Supporters praise him as a bold visionary who can make New York more equitable, while critics argue that his proposals are too radical and could accelerate outmigration. According to the poll, 39 percent of respondents said they view Mamdani as “a threat to the future of the city,” a sentiment shared even among some Democrats. His approval rating averaged 2.99 out of 5 — slightly below average but ahead of rivals Andrew Cuomo (2.40) and Curtis Sliwa (2.72).

Analysts note that the results highlight growing frustration with rising rents, safety concerns, and a perceived lack of leadership. Victory Insights described the moment as “an inflection point” that could reshape the city for years. Despite criticism, Mamdani remains the frontrunner, with early voting beginning this weekend and Election Day on November 4. His supporters say fears of decline are exaggerated, while opponents warn of economic fallout if his agenda advances. Whether the poll’s predictions of division and potential flight prove true, one thing is certain: New York stands at a crossroads, its future hinging on whether residents embrace Mamdani’s progressive vision or retreat from it.

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